Let's review the facts:
(1) Rudy Giuliani has not spent a dime on television advertisements in New Hampshire. As of June, Mitt Romney had run almost 800.
(2) Consensus CW tells us that Romney's Granite State ground organization got to work much harder, much earlier than Giuliani's.
(3) And New Hampshire, of course, is Romney's backyard. He has done 20 events here since July 31, and 12 in September. Rudy has done 12 events here since the end of July, and just five in August and September, combined. A Giuliani victory on Primary Day would be the equivalent of the Yankees sweeping a series in Fenway during the middle of a pennant race.
So why are (1) + (2) + (3) adding up to such a slim lead for the former Massachusetts governor? Today's Los Angeles Times / Bloomberg poll is the second consecutive survey that puts Rudy within five points of Romney.
